// UNCLASSIFIED · FOR PUBLIC RELEASE// INSTABILITY #LEDGER · JUN 01 2026 · UPDATED HOURLY// THE WAR ROOM DESK
Threat Monitor

The Instability Ledger.

24 strategically significant countries mapped to a four-tier classification: CRITICAL, ELEVATED, WATCH, and STABLE. Scored on conflict events, military activity, and news acceleration.

// CRITICAL5 countries
  • UkraineUKR
    92
  • Gaza / PalestinePSE
    91
  • IsraelISR
    87
  • SudanSDN
    85
  • MyanmarMMR
    82
// ELEVATED8 countries
  • RussiaRUS
    78
  • YemenYEM
    74
  • IranIRN
    72
  • SyriaSYR
    68
  • LebanonLBN
    64
  • Democratic Republic of the CongoCOD
    62
  • SomaliaSOM
    58
  • IraqIRQ
    56
// WATCH7 countries
  • North KoreaPRK
    48
  • MaliMLI
    46
  • HaitiHTI
    44
  • VenezuelaVEN
    42
  • PakistanPAK
    41
  • TaiwanTWN
    38
  • NigeriaNGA
    35
// STABLE28 countries
  • ChinaCHN
    18
  • TurkeyTUR
    16
  • EgyptEGY
    14
  • United StatesUSA
    12
  • United StatesUS
    06
  • UkraineUA
    06
  • IsraelIL
    06
  • PalestinePS
    06
  • YemenYE
    06
  • TaiwanTW
    06
  • ChinaCN
    06
  • SudanSD
    06
  • MyanmarMM
    06
  • MaliML
    06
  • Burkina FasoBF
    06
  • NigerNE
    06
  • SyriaSY
    06
  • IraqIQ
    06
  • AfghanistanAF
    06
  • IranIR
    06
  • North KoreaKP
    06
  • PakistanPK
    06
  • LebanonLB
    06
  • SomaliaSO
    06
  • DR CongoCD
    06
  • EthiopiaET
    06
  • NigeriaNG
    06
  • RussiaRU
    06

Methodology: conflict-event density (ACLED) · military-deployment signal (OSINT) · news acceleration (GDELT). Signed — The War Room Desk.